monitoring the atlantic overturning circulation
Latest AMOC time series
Monitoring the AMOC at 26°N

Monitoring changes in the AMOC is important for understanding decadal climate variability and change. The RAPID array across the Atlantic at 26°N has now observed the AMOC continuously for 10 years, and revealed greater variability than expected.

Low AMOC events in 2009-10 and 2010-11 coincided with cold winters in Europe and suggest a previously unsuspected role for the AMOC in climate variability. Understanding this requires a longer time series of observations, so the array will continue until 2020.  

Project website   Data download   Science background


AMOC predictions: how skilled are they?
In 2015 the RAPID team challenged AMOC experts to predict what the data from the RAPID array would show. Some of their predictions, and reports from the latest RAPID cruise can be found on the
RAPID Challenge blog. After preliminary analysis of data from the array, the winners have now been found.

What does it take to collect a 10 year time series of the AMOC?   To find out take a look at the 10 years of RAPID blog from the 26°N team.

Overturning in the Sub-polar North Atlantic

OSNAP is a 5-year international program to monitor the AMOC in subpolar North Atlantic. The OSNAP observing system has two legs: one from southern Labrador to the tip of Greenland across the mouth of the Labrador Sea (OSNAP West), and the second from the tip of Greenland to Scotland (OSNAP East).
OSNAP complements RAPID to give a more complete picture of Atlantic overturning.

OSNAP schematic

OSNAP also uses subsurface floats to trace the pathways of overflow waters from the Nordic seas, and study currents crossing the OSNAP line.


RAPID Challenge: best 2 predictions

On 1 December the RAPID team finished retrieving the last 18 months of data. They have now identified the best of the AMOC predictions.
Plot of predictions and AMOC data

Three new research projects

The RAPID AMOC programme is funding three new research projects to address novel uses of data from the 26°N RAPID array:

  1. Novel approaches to ocean state estimation using 26.5°N data
  2. The role of the AMOC in climate variability and predictability
  3. Atlantic BiogeoChemical Fluxes

Three new projects started in October 2014 and will be addressing these objectives. MORE


ACSIS - OSNAP - RAPID Joint Science Meeting 2017
in Oxford, 19-21 September 2017 brings together three UK science communities with focus on understanding variability and change in the North Atlantic climate system. Website

2017 US AMOC Science Team Meeting in Santa Fe, New Mexico, May 23-25 2017. Abstract deadline: 13 Jan 2017.

Past RAPID research programmes

RAPID AMOC builds on two earlier programmes:
RAPID (2001-2007) included palaeo-oceanography.
RAPID-WATCH (2008-2014) continued the RAPID arrays and model studies.

AMOC plot

Ten-day (colours) and three month low-pass (black) timeseries of Florida Straits transport (blue), Ekman transport (black), upper mid-ocean transport (magenta), and overturning transport (red) for the period 2nd April 2004 to September 2015. Florida Straits transport is based on electromagnetic cable measurements; Ekman transport is based on ERA winds. The upper mid-ocean transport, based on the RAPID time series, is the vertical integral of the transport per unit depth down to the deepest northward velocity (~1100 m) on each day. Overturning transport is then the sum of the Florida Straits, Ekman, and upper mid-ocean transports and represents the maximum northward transport of upper-layer waters on each day. Positive transports correspond to northward flow.

Preliminary AMOC time series plotted with the 10 competition entries

The thick black line shows the provisional RAPID data and the vertical bars are +/- 1 Sv. The thick dashed line shows the mean of all the entries. Coloured lines show the individual entries. Of these the two best estimates are highlighted with thick lines. Green being MPI and grey is the Met Office.