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OSNAP publications
Publications based on research carried out in the OSNAP programme
Related publications
External publications relevant to RAPID and OSNAP research.
Scientific publications based on RAPID research
The papers below are a result of work within all the RAPID research programmes. We also keep a list of related publications published by RAPID researchers or their associates.
Recently published:
Moat, .I., Smeed, .A., Frajka-Williams, E., Desbruyeres, D., Beaulieu, C., Johns, W.E., Rayner, D., Sanchez-Franks, A., Baringer, M.O., Volkov, D., Bryden, H.L. (2020): Pending recovery in the strength of the meridional overturning circulation at 26°N, Ocean Science. doi:10.5194/os-2019-134
McCarthy, G.D., Brown, P.J., Flagg, C.N., Goni, G., Houpert, L., Hughes, C.W., Hummels, R., Inall, M., Jochumsen, K., Larsen, K.M.H., Lherminier, P., Meinen, C.S., Moat, B.I., Rayner, D., Rhein, M., Roessler, A., Schmid, C., Smeed, D. (2019): Sustainable observations of the AMOC: Methodology and technology, Reviews of Geophysics. doi:10.1029/2019RG000654
Bryden, Harry L.; Johns, William E.; King, Brian A.; McCarthy, Gerard; McDonagh, Elaine L.; Moat, Ben I.; Smeed, David A. (2019): Reduction in ocean heat transport at 26°N since 2008 cools the eastern subpolar gyre of the North Atlantic Ocean, Journal of Climate. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0323.1
Holliday, N.P., Bersch, M., Berx, ., Chafik, L., Cunningham, S., Florindo-López, C., Hatun, H., Johns, W., Josey, S.A., Larsen, K.M.H., Mulet, S., Oltmanns, M., Reverdin, G., Rossby, T., Thierry, V., Valdimarsson, H., Yashayaev, I. (2020): Ocean circulation causes the largest freshening event for 120 years in eastern subpolar North Atlantic, Nature Communications, 11 (1), 585. doi:10.1038/s41467-020-14474-y
Frajka-Williams, E., Ansorge, I.J., Baehr, J., Bryden, H.L., Chidichimo, M.P., Cunningham, S.A., Danabasoglu, G., Dong, S., Donohue, K.A., Elipot, S. Heimbach, P., Holliday, N.P., Hummels, R., Jackson, L.C., Karstensen, J., Lankhorst, M., Le Bras, I.A., Lozier, M. S., McDonagh, E.L., Meinen, C.S., Mercier, H., Moat, B.I., Perez, R.C., Piecuch, C.G., Rhein, M., Srokosz, M.A., Trenberth, K.E., Bacon, S., Forget, G., Goni, G., Kieke, D., Koelling, J., Lamont, T., McCarthy, G.D., Mertens, C., Send, U.,Smeed, D.A., Speich, S., van den Berg, M.,Volkov,D., Wilson, C. (2019): Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation: Observed Transport and Variability, Frontiers in Marine Science, 6. doi:10.3389/fmars.2019.00260
All RAPID publications arranged alphabetically by lead author
A
Aksenov, Y., Bacon, S., Coward, A. C., Nurser, A. J. G. (2010): The North Atlantic Inflow into the Nordic Seas and Arctic Ocean: a high-resolution model study., J. Marine Sys., 79: Jan-22. doi:10.1016/j.jmarsys.2009.05.003
Alexander-Turner, R., P. Ortega, J. I. Robson (2018): How Robust Are the Surface Temperature Fingerprints of the Atlantic Overturning Meridional Circulation on Monthly Time Scales?, Geophysical Research Letters, 8. doi:10.1029/2017GL076759
Allison, L., E. Hawkins, T. Woollings (2014): An event-based approach to understanding decadal fluctuations in the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation, Climate Dynamics, 1-2. doi:10.1007/s00382-014-2271-9
An, S.I., Timmermann, A., Bejarano, L., Jin, FF., Justino, F., Liu, Z., Tudhope, A.W. (2004): Modeling evidence for enhanced El Nino-Southern Oscillation amplitude during the Last Glacial Maximum, Paleoceanography, 19. doi:10.1029/2004PA001020
Annan, J. D., Hargreaves, J. C., Edwards, N. R., Marsh, R. (2005): Parameter estimation in an intermediate complexity earth system model using an ensemble Kalman filter, Ocean Modelling, 8: 135-154. doi:10.1016/j.ocemod.2003.12.004
Annan, J.D., Lunt, D.J., Hargreaves, J.C., Valdes, P.J. (2005): Parameter estimation in an atmospheric GCM using the ensemble Kalman filter, Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, 12: 363-371.
Asrat, A., Baker, A., Mohammed, M.U., Leng, M.J., Van Calsteren, P., Smith, C. (2007): A high-resolution multi-proxy stalagmite record from Mechara, Southeastern Ethiopia: palaeohydrological implications for speleothem palaeoclimate reconstruction, J. Quaternary Science, 22: 53-63. doi:10.1002/JQS.1013
Atkinson, C. P., Bryden, H. L., Hirschi, J. J.-M., Kanzow, T. (2010): On the seasonal cycles and variability of Florida Straits, Ekman and Sverdrup transports at 26°N in the Atlantic Ocean, Ocean Science, 6(4): 837-859. doi:10.5194/os-6-837-2010 www.ocean-sci.net/6/837/2010/
Atkinson, C.P., Bryden, H.L., Hirschi, J.J.-M. and Kanzow, T. (2010): On the variability of Florida Straits and wind driven transports at 26°N in the Atlantic Ocean, Ocean Science Discussions, 7, (2): 919-971. doi:10.5194/osd-7-919-2010
Atkinson, C.P., Wells, N.C., Blaker, A.T., Sinha, B., Ivchenko, V.O. (2009): Rapid ocean wave teleconnections linking Antarctic sea salinity anomalies to the equatorial ocean-atmosphere system, GRL, 36. doi:10.1029/2008GL036976
Ault, T.R., Cole, J.E., Evans, M.N., Barnett, H., Abram, N.J., Tudhope, A,W., and Linsley, B.K (2009): Intensified decadal variability in tropical climate during the late 19th century, Geophysical Research Letters, 36: L08602. doi:10.1029/2008GL036924
B
Bacon, S., Saunders, P. M. (2010): The Deep Western Boundary Current at Cape Farewell: results from a Moored Current Meter Array., J. Phys. Oceanogr., Vol. 40: 815-829. doi:10.1175/2009JPO4091.1
Baehr, J., Cunningham, S. A., Haak, H., Heimbach, P., Kanzow, T. and Marotzke, J. (2009): Observed and simulated estimates of the meridional overturning circulation at 26.5°N in the Atlantic, Ocean Science, 5: 575-589. doi:10.5194/os-5-575-2009
Baehr, J., Cunningham, S., Haak, H., Heimbach, P., Kanzow, T. and Marotzke, J. (2010): Corrigendum to 'Observed and simulated estimates of the meridional overturning circulation at 26.5N in the Atlantic' published in Ocean Sci., 5, 575–589, 2009, Ocean Science, 6 (1): p1. doi:10.5194/os-6-1-2010
Baehr, J., Hirschi, J., Beismann, J., Marotzke, J. (2004): Monitoring the meridional overturning circulation in the North Atlantic: a model-based array design study, Journal of Marine Research, 62 (3): 283-312. doi:10.1357/0022240041446191
Balan Sarojini, B., Gregory, J. M., Tailleux, R., Bigg, G. R., Blaker, A. T., Cameron, D. R., Edwards, N. R., Megann, A. P., Shaffrey, L. C., and Sinha, B. (2011): High frequency variability of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation, Ocean Sci., 7: 471-486. doi:10.5194/os-7-471-2011
Balan Sarojini, B., J. M. Gregory, R. Tailleux, G. R. Bigg, A. T. Blaker, D. Cameron, N. R. Edwards, A. P. Megann, L. C. Shaffrey, B. Sinha (2011): High frequency variability of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation, Ocean Sciences, 7: 471-486. doi:10.5194/os-7-471-2011
Balmaseda, M.A. , G.C. Smith, K.Haines, D.Anderson, T. N. Palmer, A. Vidard (2007): Historical reconstruction of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation from the ECMWF operational ocean reanalysis reconstruction of the Atlantic MOC, Geophysical Research Letters, 23. doi:10.1029/2007GL031645
Bamber, J., M. van den Broeke, J. Ettema, J. Lenaerts, E., Rignot (2012): Recent large increases in freshwater fluxes from Greenland into the North Atlantic, Geophysical Research Letters, 19. doi:10.1029/2012GL052552
Bamber, J.L., Alley, R.B., Joughin, I. (2007): Rapid response of modern day ice sheets to external forcing, Earth And Planetary Science Letters, 257: Jan-13. doi:10.1016/J.EPSL.2007.03.005
Baringer M. O., Cunningham S.A., Meinen C. S., Garzoli S., Willis J., Lankhorst M., Macdonald A., Send U., Hobbs W. R., Frajka-Williams E., Kanzow T. O., Rayner D., Johns W. E., Bryden H. L. and Marotzke J. (2012): Meridional Overturning Circulation and Heat Transport Observations in the Atlantic Ocean, in State of the Climate in 2011, Blunden, J., D. S. Arndt (eds.), Bull. Am. Met. Soc., 93: S1–S282. doi:10.1175/2012BAMSStateoftheClimate.1
Baringer, M. O., Kanzow, T. O., Meinen, C. S., Cunningham, S. A., Rayner, D., Johns, W. E., Bryden, H. L., Hirschi, J. J.-M., Beal, L. M., Marotzke, J. (2010): The meridional overturning circulation, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 91(7): Chapter 3: 14-17.
Barringer, M.O.; Smeed, D.A.; Willis, J.; Lankhorst, M.; Hobbs, W.R.; Dong, S.; McCarthy, G.D.; Rayner, D.; Johns, W.E.; Goni, G.; Send, U. (2017): Meridional overturning circulation observations in the North Atlantic Ocean, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 98 (8): Supplement to State of the Climate 2016, S84-S87.
Beal L., Williams E., Hummon J., Brown O., Kearus E., Baringer, W. (2007): Five years of Florida Current Structure and Transport measured from the Royal Caribbean Cruise ship Explorer of the Seas, Journal of Geophysical Research, 113: C06001. doi:10.1029/2007/JC004154
Bigg, G., C.D. Clark, S.L. Greenwood, H. Haflidason, A.L.C. Hughes, R.C. Levine, A. Nygard, H.P. Sejrup (2012): Sensitivity of the North Atlantic circulation to break-up of the marine sectors of the NW European ice sheets during the last Glacial: A synthesis of modelling and palaeoceanography, Global and Planetary Change. doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2012.09.004
Bigg, G., R.C. Levine, C. L.Green (2011): Modelling abrupt glacial North Atlantic freshening: Rates of change and their implications for Heinrich events, Global and Planetary Change, 3-4. doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2010.11.001
Bigg, G. R., Levine, R. C., Clark, C. D., Greenwood, S., Haflidason, H., Hughes, A. L. C., Nygård, A., Sejrup, H. P. (2010): Last Glacial ice-rafted debris off south-western Europe: the role of the British-Irish Ice Sheet, Journal of Quaternary Science, 25: 689-699.
Bingham, R. J., Hughes, C. W. (2009): Geostrophic dynamics of meridional transport variability in the subpolar North Atlantic, J. Geophys. Res, 114: C12029. doi:10.1029/2009JC005492
Bingham, R. J., Hughes, C. W. (2009): Signature of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation in sea level along the east coast of North America, Geophysical Research Letters, 36: L02603. doi:10.1029/2008GL036215
Bingham, R. J., Roussenov, V., Hughes, C. W., Williams, R. G. (2007): Meridional coherence of the North Atlantic meridional overturning circulation, Geophysical Research Letters, 34: L23606. doi:10.1029/2007GL031731
Bingham, R.J., C.W. Hughes (2008): Determining North Atlantic meridional transport variability from pressure on the western boundary: A model investigation, Journal of Geophysical Research C9. doi:10.1029/2007JC004679
Blaker A, J. J.-M. Hirschi, G. McCarthy, B. Sinha, S.,Taws, R. Marsh, A. Coward, B. de Cuevas (2014): Historical analogues of the recent extreme minima observed in the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation at 26N, Climate Dynamics, 1-2. doi:10.1007/s00382-014-2274-6
Blaker A. T., Sinha, B., Ivchenko, V. O., Wells, N. C., Zalesny, V. B. (2006): Identifying the roles of the ocean and atmosphere in creating a rapid equatorial response to a Southern Ocean anomaly, Geophysical Research Letters, 33: 283-312.. doi:10.1029/2005GL025474
Blaker, A.T., Hirschi, J.J-M., Sinha, B., de Cuevas, B., Alderson, S., Coward, A. and Madec, G. (2012): Large near-inertial oscillations of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation, Ocean Modelling, 42: 50-56. doi:10.1016/j.ocemod.2011.11.008
Boessenkool, K. P., Hall, I. R., Elderfield, H., Yashayaev, I. (2007): Atlantic climate and deep-ocean flow speed changes during the last 230 years, Geophysical Research Letters, 34: L13614. doi:10.1029/2007GL030285
Bougamont, M., Bamber, J. L., Ridley, J. K., Gladstone, R. M., Greuell, W., Hanna, E., Payne, A. J., Rutt, I. (2006): Impact of model physics on estimating the surface mass balance of the Greenland ice sheet, Geophysical Research Letters, 34: L17501. doi:935-938
Bougamont, M., J. L. Bamber, W. Greuell (2005): A Surface Mass Balance Model for the Greenland Ice Sheet, Journal of Geophysical Research, 110: F04018. doi:10.1029/2005JF000348
Brayshaw, D.J., Hoskins, B. J., Blackburn, M. (2010): The Basic Ingredients of the North Atlantic Storm Track. Part I: Land?Sea Contrast and Orography, J. Atmos. Sci, 66: 2539-2558. doi:10.1175/2009JAS3078.1
Brendryen, J., Haflidason, H., and Sejrup, H. P. (2010): Norwegian Sea tephrostratigraphy of marine isotope stages 4 and 5: Prospects and problems for tephrochronology in the North Atlantic region, Quaternary Science Reviews, 29 (7-8): 847-864. doi:10.1016/j.quascirev.2009.12.004
Briffa, K. R.,van der Schrier, G. Jones, P. D. (2009): Wet and dry summers in Europe since 1750: evidence of increasing drought, International Journal of Climatology, 29 (13): 1894-1905. doi:10.1002/joc.1836
Briffa, K.R., G. van der Schrier, P. D. Jones (2009): Wet and dry summers in Europe since 1750: evidence of increasing drought, International Journal of Climatology, 13. doi:10.1002/joc.1836
Brown, J., A.W. Tudhope, M. Collins, H.V. McGregor (2008): Mid-Holocene ENSO: Issues in quantitative model-proxy data comparisons, Paleoceanography, 23(3). doi:10.1029/2007PA00151
Brown, J., M. Collins, A.W. Tudhope, T. Toniazzo (2007): Modelling mid-Holocene tropical climate and ENSO variability: towards constraining predictions of future change with palaeo-data, Climate Dynamics, 30(1): 19-36. doi:10.1007/s00382-007-0270-9
Brown, J., M. Collins and A. Tudhope (2006): Coupled model simulations of mid-Holocene ENSO and comparisons with coral oxygen isotope records, Advances in Geosciences, 6: 29-33. www.copernicus.org/EGU/adgeo/6/adgeo-6-29.pdf
Bryden, H. L., B. A. King and G. D. McCarthy (2011): South Atlantic overturning circulation at 24S, Journal of Marine Research, 69: 39-56. doi:10.1357/002224011798147633
Bryden, H. L., Longworth, H. R. and Cunningham, S. A. (2005): Slowing of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation at 25°N, Nature, 438: 655-657. doi:10.1038/nature04385
Bryden, H. L., Mujahid, A., Cunningham, S. A. and Kanzow, T. (2009): Adjustment of the Basin-Scale Circulation at 26°N to Variations in Gulf Stream, Deep Western Boundary Current and Ekman Transports as observed by the Rapid Array, Ocean Science, 5: 421-433. doi:10.5194/os-5-421-2009
Bryden, H. L., W. E. Johns, and P. M. Saunders (2005): Deep Western Boundary Current east of Abaco: Mean structure and transport, Journal of Marine Research, 63 (1): 35-57. doi:10.1357/0022240053693806
Bryden, H.L. ,King, B.A.,McCarthy, G.D., McDonagh, E.L. (2014): Impact of a 30% reduction in Atlantic meridional overturning during 2009-2010, Ocean Sci., 10: 683-691. doi:10.5194/os-10-683-2014
Bryden, Harry L.; Johns, William E.; King, Brian A.; McCarthy, Gerard; McDonagh, Elaine L.; Moat, Ben I.; Smeed, David A. (2019): Reduction in ocean heat transport at 26°N since 2008 cools the eastern subpolar gyre of the North Atlantic Ocean, Journal of Climate. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0323.1
C
Cameron, D. R., Lenton, T. M., Ridgwell, A. J., Shepherd, J. G., Marsh, R., and Yool, A. (2005): A factorial analysis of the marine carbon cycle and ocean circulation controls on atmospheric CO2, Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 19(4): GB4027. doi:10.1029/2005GB002489
Challenor P. (2009): Comments by P. Challenor on Goldstein and Rougier, Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference, 139(3): 1248. doi:10.1016/j.jspi.2008.08.012
Challenor, P. (2011): Designing a Computer Experiment that Involves Switches, Journal of Statistical Theory and Practice, 5(1): 47-57. Link to on-line journal
Challenor, P. G., Hankin, R. K. S., Marsh, R. (2006): Towards the probability of rapid climate change, In Schellnhuber, H.J., W. Cramer, N. Nakicenovic, T. Wigley, and G. Yohe (Eds.) Avoiding Dangerous Climate Change.: Cambridge University Press. PDF copy of paper
Challenor, P.G (2012): Using Emulators to Estimate Uncertainty in Complex Models, pp151-164 in Uncertainty Quantification in Scientific Computing, Eds A.M Dienstrey and R.F Boisvert, IFIP AICT 377, Springer.
Challenor, P.G. (2007): The probability of rapid climate change, Significance, 4: 60-62. doi:10.1111/j.1740-9713.2007.00226.x
Chapman, M. R. (2010): Seasonal production patterns of planktonic foraminifera in the NE Atlantic Ocean: Implications for paleotemperature and hydrographic reconstructions, Paleoceanography, 25: PA1101. doi:10.1029/2008PA001708
Chidichimo, M. P., Kanzow, T., Cunningham, S. A. and Marotzke, J. (2009): The contribution of eastern-boundary density variations to the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation at 26.5N, Ocean Science, 6: 2507-2553. doi:10.5194/osd-6-2507-2009
Chidichimo, M. P., Kanzow, T., Cunningham, S. A., Johns, W. E., Marotzke, J. (2010): The contribution of eastern-boundary density variations to the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation at 26.5° N, Ocean Science, 6: 475-490. doi:10.5194/os-6-475-2010 www.ocean-sci.net/6/475/2010/
Chu, P.C., Ivanov, L.M., Melnichenko, O.V., Wells, N.C. (2007): On long baroclinic Rossby waves in the tropical North Atlantic observed from profiling floats, JGR Oceans, 112. doi:10.1029/2006JC003698
Chu, P.C., Ivanov, L.M., Melnichenko, O.V., Wells, N.C. (2007): On long baroclinic Rossby Waves in the tropical North Atlantic observed using profiling floats, J. Geophys. Res., 112: C05032. doi:10.1029/2006JC003698
Clément, L., Frajka-Williams, E., Szuts, Z.B., Cunningham, S.A. (2014): Vertical structure of eddies and Rossby waves, and their effect on the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation at 26.5°N, J. Geophys. Res.: Oceans, 119 (9): 6479-6498. doi:10.1002/2014JC010146
Collins, M., M. Botzet, A. Carril, H. Drange, A. Jouzeau, M. Latif, O. H. Ottera, H. Pohlmann, A. Sorteberg, R. Sutton and L. Terray (2006): Interannual to Decadal Climate Predictabilty: A Multi-Perfect-Model-Ensemble Study, Summer Moisture Variability across Europe, Journal of Climate, 19 (7): 1195-1203. doi:10.1175/JCLI3654.1
Cotter CJ, Ham DA, Pain CC (2009): A mixed discontinuous/continuous finite element pair for shallow-water ocean modelling, Ocean Modelling, 26 (1-2): 86-90. doi:10.1016/j.ocemod.2008.09.002
Cotter CJ, Ham DA, Pain CC, Reich S (2009): LBB stability of a mixed discontinuous/continuous Galerkin finite element pair, Journal of Computational Physics, 228: 336-348.
Couldrey, M.P., K.I.C. Oliver, A. Yool, P.R. Halloran, E.P. Achterberg (2016): On which timescales do gas transfer velocities control North Atlantic CO 2 flux variability?, Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 30(5): 787-802. doi:10.1002/2015GB005267
Coutinho, M. M., Hoskins, B. J., Buizza, R (2004): The influence of physical processes on extrtropical singular vectors, Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 61(2): 195-209. doi:10.1175/1520-0469(2004)061<0195:TIOPPO>2.0.CO;2
Cox, K. A., Stanford, J. D., McVicar, A. J., Rohling, E. J., Heywood, K. J., Bacon, S., Bolshaw, M., Dodd, P. A., de la Rosa, S., Wilkinson, D. (2010): A perspective on the interannual variability of Arctic sea ice export into the East Greenland Current., J. Geophys. Res., Vol. 115: C12063. doi:10.1029/2010JC006227
Cunningham, S. A., Marsh, R. (2010): Observing and modelling changes in the Atlantic MOC, Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change, 1 (2): 180–191. doi:10.1002/wcc.22
Cunningham, S. A., Kanzow, T., Rayner, D., Baringer, M. O., Johns, W. E., Marotzke, J., Longworth, H. R., Grant, E. M., Hirschi,J. J-M., Beal, L. M., Meinen, C. S., Bryden, H. L. (2007): Temporal variability of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation at 26.5°N, Science, 317(5840): 935-938. doi:10.1126/science.1141304
Cunningham, S., Baringer, M., Johns, B., Toole, J., Østerhus, S., Fisher, J., Piola, A., McDonagah, E., Lozier, S., Send, U., Kanzow, T., Marotzke, J., Rhein, M., Garzoli, S., Rintoul, S., Sloyan, B., Speich, S., Talley, L., Baehr, J., Meinen, C., Treguier, A. and Lherminier, P., (2010): The present and future system for measuring the Atlantic Meridional overturning circulation and heat transport, OceanObs'09, Vol.2: WPP-306. doi:10.5270/OceanObs09.cwp.21
Cunningham, S.A., Roberts, C.D., Frajka-Williams, E., Johns, W.E., Hobbs,W., Palmer, M.D. Rayner, D., Smeed, D.A., McCarthy, G. (2013): Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation slowdown cooled the subtropical ocean, GRL, 40: 6202-6207. doi:10.1002/2013GL058464
Cunningham, Stuart A., Alderson, Steve (2007): Transatlantic temperature and salinity changes at 24.5 degrees N from 1957 to 2004, Geophysical Research Letters, 34. doi:10.1029/2007GL029821
Czeschel, L., Marshall, D. P., Johnson, H. L. (2010): Oscillatory sensitivity of Atlantic overturning to high-latitude forcing, Geophys. Res. Lett., 37: L10601. doi:10.1029/2010GL043177
D
D'Arrigo, R., R. Wilson, C. Deser, G. Wiles, E. Cook, R. Villalba, A. Tudhope, J. Cole, and B. Linsley (2005): Tropical-North Pacific Climate Linkages Over the Past Four Centuries, Journal of Climate, 18 (24): 5253-5265. doi:10.1175/JCLI3602.1
D'Arrigo, R., Wilson, R., Palmer, J., Krusic, P., Curtis, A., Sakulich, J., Bijaksana, S., Zulaikah, S., Ngkoimani, L.O., Tudhope, A. (2006): The reconstructed Indonesian warm pool sea surface temperatures from tree rings and corals: Linkages to Asian monsoon drought and El Nino-Southern Oscillation, Paleoceanography, 21. doi:10.1029/2005PA001256
D'Arrigo, R., Wilson, R., Tudhope, A.W. (2008): Impact of volcanic forcing on tropical temperatures during the last four centuries, Nature Geoscience, 2: 51-56. doi:10.1038/ngeo393
Daley, T.J., K.E. Barber (2012): Multi-proxy Holocene palaeoclimate records from Walton Moss, northern England and Dosenmoor, northern Germany, assessed using three statistical approaches, Quaternary International, 268: 111-127. doi:10.1016/j.quaint.2011.10.026
Daley, T. J., Thomas, E. R., Holmes, J. A., Street-Perrott, F. A., Chapman, M. R., Tindall, J. C., Valdes, P. J., Loader, N. J., Marshall, J. D., Wolff, E. W., Hopley, P. J., Atkinson, T., Barber, K. E., Fisher, E.H., Robertson, I., Hughes, P.D.M. (2011): The 8200yr BP cold event in stable isotope records from the North Atlantic region, Global and Planetary Change, 79: 288-302. doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2011.03.006
Daley, T.E., K.E. Barber, P D.M. Hughes, N.J. Loader, M. Leuenberger, F.A. Street‐Perrott (2016): The 8.2-ka BP event in north-eastern North America: first combined oxygen and hydrogen isotopic data from peat in Newfoundland, Journal of Quaternary Science, 31(4): 416-425. doi:10.1002/jqs.2870
Daley, T.J., Barber, K.E., Street-Perrott, F.A., Loader, N.J. Marshall, J.D., Crowley, S.F., Fisher E.H (2010): Holocene climate variability revealed in Sphagnum cellulose oxygen-isotope analyses from Walton Moss, northern England., Quaternary Science Reviews, 29: 1590-1601. doi:10.1016/j.quascirev.2009.09.017
Daley, T.J., Street-Perrott, F.A., Loader, N.J., Barber, K.E., Hughes, P.D.M., Fisher E.H., Marshall, J.D. (2009): Terrestrial climate signal of the ''8200 yr B.P. cold event'' in the Labrador Sea region, Geology, 37: 831-834. doi:10.1130/G30014A.1
Dong, B., R.T. Sutton (2007): Enhancement of ENSO Variability by a Weakened Atlantic Thermohaline Circulation in a Coupled GCM, Journal of Climate. doi:10.1175/JCLI4284.1
Dong, B., R.T. Sutton, L. Shaffrey, N.P. Klingaman (2017): Attribution of Forced Decadal Climate Change in Coupled and Uncoupled Ocean-Atmosphere Model Experiments, Journal of Climate. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0578.1
Duchez, A., P. Courtois, E. Harris, S.A. Josey, T. Kanzow, R. Marsh, D.A. Smeed, J. J.-M. Hirschi (2015): Potential for seasonal prediction of Atlantic sea surface temperatures using the RAPID array at 26°N, Climate Dynamics, 46: 3351-3370. doi:10.1007/s00382-015-2918-1
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Williamson, D., Blaker, A. T., Arnfield, M., Hampton, C., Salter, J. (2012): Identifying and removing structural biases in climate models with history matching, University of Exeter Technical Report: 21pp. Copy of Tech. Report
Williamson, D., Blaker, A. T., Hampton, C. Salter, J. (2014): Identifying and removing structural biases in climate models with history matching, Climate Dynamics, 2014. doi:10.1007/s00382-014-2378-z Williamson_et_al_StructErrorPaper.pdf
Williamson, D., Goldstein, M., Allison, L., Blaker, A. T., Challenor, P., Jackson, L. (2013): History matching for the quantification and reduction of parametric uncertainty in climate model projections, Climate Dynamics, 41: 1703-1729. doi:10.1007/s00382-013-1896-4
Williamson, D., Goldstein, M., Blaker, A. T. (2012): Fast Linked Analyses for Scenario based Hierarchies, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series C, 61: 5. doi:10.1111/j.1467-9876.2012.01042.x
Williamson, M. (2002): Disaster watch, IEE Review, 48: 19-24. doi:10.1049/IR:20020402
Wilson, C., Sinha, B., Williams, R.G. (2009): The effect of ocean dynamics and orography on atmospheric storm tracks, Journal of Climate, 22 (13): 3689–3702. doi:10.1175/2009JCLI2651.1
Wilson, C., Sinha, B., Williams, R.G. (2010): The shaping of storm tracks by mountains and ocean dynamics, Weather, 65 (12): 320-323. doi:10.1002/wea.633
Wilson, R., Tudhope, A., Brohan, P., Briffa, K., Osborn, T., Tett, S. (2006): Two-hundred-fifty years of reconstructed and modeled tropical temperatures, JGR Oceans, 111. doi:10.1029/2005JC003188
Woollings , T., B. Hoskins, M. Blackburn, Hassell, D., Hodges, K. (2010): Storm track sensitivity to sea surface temperature resolution in a regional atmosphere model, Clim. Dyn., 3: 341-353. doi:10.1007/s00382-009-0554-3
Woollings, T., Hannachi, A., Hoskins, B., Turner, A. (2010): A regime view of the North Atlantic Oscillation and its response to anthropogenic forcing, J Clim, 23: 1291-1307. doi:10.1175/2009JCLI3087.1
Worthington, E. L.; Frajka-Williams, E.; McCarthy, G. (2019): Estimating the Deep Overturning Transport Variability at 26°N Using Bottom Pressure Recorders, JGR, 124. doi:10.1029/2018JC014221
Wu, P., Jackson, L., Pardaens, A. and Schaller, N. (2011): Extended warming of the northern high latitudes due to an overshoot of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation, Geophysical Research Letters, 38: L24704. doi:10.1029/2011GL049998
Z
Zhao, J., Bower, A., Yang, J., Lin, X., Holliday, N.P. (2018): Meridional heat transport variability induced by mesoscale processes in the subpolar North Atlantic, Nature Communications, 9: 1124. doi:10.1038/s41467-018-03134-x
V
van der Schrier, G., Barkmeijer, J. (2007): North American 1818-1824 drought and 1825-1840 pluvial and their possible relation to the atmospheric circulation, JGR Atmospheres, 112. doi:10.1029/2007JD008429
van der Schrier, G., Efthymiadis, D., Briffa, K.R., Jones, P.D. (2007): European Alpine moisture variability for 1800-2003, Int. J. Climatology, 7: 415-427. doi:10.1002/JOC.1411
van der Schrier, G., Briffa, K.R., Osborn, T.J., Cook, E.R. (2006): Summer moisture availability across North America, JGR Atmospheres, 111. doi:10.1029/2005JD006745
van der Schrier, G., Osborn, T.J., Briffa, K.R., Cook, E.R. (2007): Exploring an ensemble approach to estimating skill in multiproxy palaeoclimate reconstructions, Holocene, 17: 119-129. doi:10.1177/0959683607073294
Arranged by publication year
2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002
2020
Holliday, N.P., Bersch, M., Berx, ., Chafik, L., Cunningham, S., Florindo-López, C., Hatun, H., Johns, W., Josey, S.A., Larsen, K.M.H., Mulet, S., Oltmanns, M., Reverdin, G., Rossby, T., Thierry, V., Valdimarsson, H., Yashayaev, I. (2020): Ocean circulation causes the largest freshening event for 120 years in eastern subpolar North Atlantic, Nature Communications, 11 (1): 585. doi:10.1038/s41467-020-14474-y
Moat, .I., Smeed, .A., Frajka-Williams, E., Desbruyeres, D., Beaulieu, C., Johns, W.E., Rayner, D., Sanchez-Franks, A., Baringer, M.O., Volkov, D., Bryden, H.L. (2020): Pending recovery in the strength of the meridional overturning circulation at 26°N, Ocean Science. doi:10.5194/os-2019-134
2019
Bryden, Harry L.; Johns, William E.; King, Brian A.; McCarthy, Gerard; McDonagh, Elaine L.; Moat, Ben I.; Smeed, David A. (2019): Reduction in ocean heat transport at 26°N since 2008 cools the eastern subpolar gyre of the North Atlantic Ocean, Journal of Climate. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0323.1
Frajka-Williams, E., Ansorge, I.J., Baehr, J., Bryden, H.L., Chidichimo, M.P., Cunningham, S.A., Danabasoglu, G., Dong, S., Donohue, K.A., Elipot, S. Heimbach, P., Holliday, N.P., Hummels, R., Jackson, L.C., Karstensen, J., Lankhorst, M., Le Bras, I.A., Lozier, M. S., McDonagh, E.L., Meinen, C.S., Mercier, H., Moat, B.I., Perez, R.C., Piecuch, C.G., Rhein, M., Srokosz, M.A., Trenberth, K.E., Bacon, S., Forget, G., Goni, G., Kieke, D., Koelling, J., Lamont, T., McCarthy, G.D., Mertens, C., Send, U.,Smeed, D.A., Speich, S., van den Berg, M.,Volkov,D., Wilson, C. (2019): Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation: Observed Transport and Variability, Frontiers in Marine Science, 6. doi:10.3389/fmars.2019.00260
Lozier, M.S., F. Li, S. Bacon, F. Bahr, A. Bower, S. Cunningham, F. de Jong, L. de Steur, Brad de Young, J. Fischer, S. Gary, B. Greenan, N.P. Holliday, A. Houk, L. Houpert, M. Inall, B. Johns, H. Johnson, C. Johnson, J. Karstensen, G. Koman, I. LeBras, X. Lin, N. Mackay, D. Marshall, H. Mercier, M. Oltmanns, R. Pickart, A. Ramsay, D. Rayner, F. Straneo, V. Thierry, D. Torres, R. Williams, C. Wilson, J. Yang, I. Yashayaev, J. Zhao (2019): A sea change in our view of overturning in the Subpolar North Atlantic Program, Science, 363 (6426): 516-521. doi:10.1126/science.aau6592
McCarthy, G.D., Brown, P.J., Flagg, C.N., Goni, G., Houpert, L., Hughes, C.W., Hummels, R., Inall, M., Jochumsen, K., Larsen, K.M.H., Lherminier, P., Meinen, C.S., Moat, B.I., Rayner, D., Rhein, M., Roessler, A., Schmid, C., Smeed, D. (2019): Sustainable observations of the AMOC: Methodology and technology, Reviews of Geophysics. doi:10.1029/2019RG000654
Perez, R., M. Srokosz, G. Danabasoglu (2019): Atlantic overturning circulation questions abound, EOS, 100. doi:10.1029/2019EO114603
Volkov, D.L., Baringer, M., Smeed, D., Johns, W., Landerer, F.W. (2019): Teleconnection between the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation and sea level in the Mediterranean Sea, Journal of Climate, 32: 935-955. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0474.1
Worthington, E. L.; Frajka-Williams, E.; McCarthy, G. (2019): Estimating the Deep Overturning Transport Variability at 26°N Using Bottom Pressure Recorders, JGR, 124. doi:10.1029/2018JC014221
2018
Alexander-Turner, R., P. Ortega, J. I. Robson (2018): How Robust Are the Surface Temperature Fingerprints of the Atlantic Overturning Meridional Circulation on Monthly Time Scales?, Geophysical Research Letters, 8. doi:10.1029/2017GL076759
Gary, S F., Cunningham, S.A., Johnson, C., Houpert, L., Holliday, N.P., Behrens, E., Biastoch, A., Boning, C. (2018): Seasonal cycles of oceanic transport in the eastern subpolar North Atlantic, JGR Oceans, 123 (2): 1471-1484. doi:10.1002/2017JC013350
Holliday, N.P., Bacon, S., Cunningham, S., Gary, S.F., Karstensen, J., King, B.A., Li, F., McDonagh, E.L. (2018): Subpolar North Atlantic overturning and gyre-scale circulation in the summers of 2014 and 2016, JGR Oceans, 123(7): 4538-4559. doi:10.1029/2018JC013841
Houpert L., M. Inall, E. Dumont, S. Gary, C. Johnson, M. Porter, W.E. Johns, S.A. Cunningham (2018): Structure and Transport of the North Atlantic Current in the Eastern Subpolar Gyre from Sustained Glider Observations, Journal of Geophysical Research - Oceans. doi:10.1029/2018JC014162
Hughes, C.W., J. William, A. Blaker, A. Coward., V. Stepanov (2018): A window on the deep ocean: The special value of ocean bottom pressure for monitoring the large-scale, deep-ocean circulation, Progress in Oceanography, 11: 19-46. doi:10.1016/j.pocean.2018.01.011
Le Bras, I.A.-A., Straneo, F., Holte, J., Holliday, N.P. (2018): Seasonality of freshwater in the East Greenland Current system from 2014 to 2016, JGR Oceans, 123: 8828-8848. doi:10.1029/2018JC014511
Mackay, N, Wilson, C., Zika, J., Holliday, N.P. (2018): A regional thermohaline inverse method for estimating circulation and mixing in the Arctic, J. Ocean and Atmosphere Technology. doi:10.1175/JTECH-D-17-0198.1
Pillar, H.R., H.L. Johnson, D.P. Marshall, P. Heimbach, S. Takao (2018): Impacts of Atmospheric Reanalysis Uncertainty on AMOC Estimates at 25N, J. Climate, 31: 8719-8744.
Robson, J., Sutton, R.T., Archibald, A., Cooper, F., Christensen, M., Gray, L.J., Holliday, N.P., Macintosh, C., McMillan, M., Moat, B., Russo, M., Tilling, R., Carslaw, K., Desbruyeres, D., Embury, O., Feltham, D.L., Grosvenor, D.P., Josey, S., King, B., Lewis, A., McCarthy, G.D., Merchant, C., New, A.L., O'Reilly, C.H., Osprey, S.M., Read, K., Scaife, A.m, Shepherd, A., Sinha, B., Smeed, D., Smith, D., Ridout, A.w, Woollings, T., Yang, M. (2018): Estimating the Deep Overturning Transport Variability at 26°N Using Bottom Pressure Recorders, Int. J. Climatology, 38(14): 5050-5076. doi:10.1002/joc.5815
Sinha, B., D.A. Smeed, G. McCarthy, B. I. Moat, S. A. Josey, J. J.-M. Hirschi, E. Frajka-Williams, A. T. Blaker, D. Rayner and G. Madec (2018): The Accuracy of Estimates of the Overturning Circulation from Basin-wide Mooring Arrays, Progress in Oceanography, 160: 101-123. doi:10.1016/j.pocean.2017.12.001
Smeed, D.A., S. A. Josey, C. Beaulieu, W. E. Johns, B. I. Moat, E. Frajka-Williams, D. Rayner, C. S. Meinen, M. O. Baringer, H. L. Bryden, G. D. McCarthy (2018): The North Atlantic Ocean Is in a State of Reduced Overturning, Geophysical Research Letters, 45. doi:10.1002/2017GL076350
Zhao, J., Bower, A., Yang, J., Lin, X., Holliday, N.P. (2018): Meridional heat transport variability induced by mesoscale processes in the subpolar North Atlantic, Nature Communications, 9: 1124. doi:10.1038/s41467-018-03134-x
2017
Barringer, M.O.; Smeed, D.A.; Willis, J.; Lankhorst, M.; Hobbs, W.R.; Dong, S.; McCarthy, G.D.; Rayner, D.; Johns, W.E.; Goni, G.; Send, U. (2017): Meridional overturning circulation observations in the North Atlantic Ocean, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 98 (8): Supplement to State of the Climate 2016, S84-S87.
Dong, B., R.T. Sutton, L. Shaffrey, N.P. Klingaman (2017): Attribution of Forced Decadal Climate Change in Coupled and Uncoupled Ocean-Atmosphere Model Experiments, Journal of Climate. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0578.1
Elipot, S., E. Frajka-Williams, C.W.Hughes, S.Olhede, M. Lankhorst (2017): Observed Basin-Scale Response of the North Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation to Wind Stress Forcing, Journal of Climate. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0664.1
Hawkins, E., P. Ortega and E. Sucklin (2017): Estimating Changes in Global Temperature since the Preindustrial Period Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, : 10.1175/BAMS-D-16-0007.1.
McCarthy, G. D., M. B. Menary, J. V. Mecking, B. I. Moat, W. E. Johns, M. B. Andrews, D. Rayner, and D. A. Smeed (2017): The importance of deep, basinwide measurements in optimized Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation observing arrays, J. Geophys. Res. Oceans, 122: 1808-1826. doi:10.1002/2016JC012200
McCarthy, G.D., Smeed, D.A., Cunningham, S.A. and Roberts, C.D. (2017): Atlantic Meridonal Overturning Circulation, MCCIP Science Review 2017: 15-21. doi:10.14465/2017.arc10.002-atl
Monerie, P.-A., E. Sanchez-Gomez, B. Pohl, J. Robson and B. Dong (2017): Impact of internal variability on projections of Sahel precipitation change, Environmental Research Letters. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/aa8cda
Sutton, R.T.; McCarthy, G.D.; Robson, J.; Sinha, B.; Archibald, A.; Gray, L.J. (2017): Atlantic multi-decadal variability and the UK ACSIS programme, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, early on-line release. doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-16-0266.1
2016
Couldrey, M.P., K.I.C. Oliver, A. Yool, P.R. Halloran, E.P. Achterberg (2016): On which timescales do gas transfer velocities control North Atlantic CO 2 flux variability?, Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 30(5): 787-802. doi:10.1002/2015GB005267
Daley, T.E., K.E. Barber, P D.M. Hughes, N.J. Loader, M. Leuenberger, F.A. Street‐Perrott (2016): The 8.2-ka BP event in north-eastern North America: first combined oxygen and hydrogen isotopic data from peat in Newfoundland, Journal of Quaternary Science, 31(4): 416-425. doi:10.1002/jqs.2870
Duchez, A., E. Frajka-Williams, S.A. Josey, D.G. Evans, J.P. Grist, R. Marsh, G. D. McCarthy, B. Sinha, D.I. Berry and J.J-M. Hirschi (2016): Drivers of exceptionally cold North Atlantic Ocean temperatures and their link to the 2015 European heat wave, Environmental Research Letters, 11. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/11/7/074004
Frajka-Williams, E., C.S. Meinen, W.E. Johns, D.A. Smeed, A. Duchez, A.J. Lawrence, D.A. Cuthbertson1, G.D. McCarthy, H.L. Bryden, M.O. Baringer, B.I. Moat, and D. Rayner (2016): Compensation between meridional flow components of the Atlantic MOC at 26°N, Ocean Science, 12 (2): 481-493. doi:10.5194/os-12-481-2016
Holmes, J.A., J. Tindall, N. Roberts, W. Marshall, J.D.Marshall, A. Bingham, I. Feeser, M. O'Connell, T. Atkinson, A.-L. Jourdana, A. March, E.H.Fisher (2016): Lake isotope records of the 8200-year cooling event in western Ireland: Comparison with model simulations, Quaternary Science Reviews, 131 (B): 341-349. doi:10.1016/j.quascirev.2015.06.027
Kelly, K.A., K. Drushka, L. Thompson, D. Le Bars, E.L. McDonagh (2016): Impact of slowdown of Atlantic overturning circulation on heat and freshwater transports, Geophysical Research Letters, 43(14): 7625-763. doi:10.1002/2016GL069789
Moat, B.I., Josey, S.A., Sinha, B., Blaker, A.T., Smeed, D.A., McCarthy, G., Johns, W.E., Hirschi, J.J.-M., Frajka-Williams, E., Rayner, D., Duchez, A., Coward, A.C. (2016): Major variations in subtropical North Atlantic heat transport at short (5 day) time scales and their causes, JGR Oceans. doi:10.1002/2016JC011660
2015
Duchez, A., P. Courtois, E. Harris, S.A. Josey, T. Kanzow, R. Marsh, D.A. Smeed, J. J.-M. Hirschi (2015): Potential for seasonal prediction of Atlantic sea surface temperatures using the RAPID array at 26°N, Climate Dynamics, 46: 3351-3370. doi:10.1007/s00382-015-2918-1
Frajka-Williams, E. (2015): Estimating the Atlantic overturning at 2N using satellite altimetry and cable measurements, Geophysical Research Letters, 42. doi:10.1002/2015GL063220
Halloran, P., B.B.B. Booth, C.D. Jones, F.H. Lambert, D.J. McNeall, I.J. Totterdell and C. Völker (2015): The mechanisms of North Atlantic CO2 uptake in a large Earth System Model ensemble, Biogeosciences, 12(14): 4497-4508. doi:10.5194/bg-12-4497-2015
Jackson, L., R. Kahana, T. Graham, M.A. Ringer, T. Woollings, J.V. Mecking and R. A. Wood (2015): Global and European climate impacts of a slowdown of the AMOC in a high resolution GCM, Climate Dynamics, 45: 3299-3316. doi:10.1007/s00382-015-2540-2
McCarthy, G.D.; Haigh, I.D.; Hirschi, J. J.-M.; Grist, J.P.; Smeed, D.A. (2015): Ocean impact on decadal Atlantic climate variability revealed by sea-level observations, Nature, 521: 508-510. doi:10.1038/nature14491
McCarthy, G.D.; Smeed, D.A.; Johns, W.E.; Frajka-Williams, E.; Moat, B.I.; Rayner, Darren.; Baringer, M.O.; Meinen, C.S.; Collins, J.; Bryden, H.L. (2015): Measuring the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation at 26°N, Progress in Oceanography, 130: 91-111. doi:10.1016/j.pocean.2014.10.006
McDonagh, E., B. King, H. Bryden, P. Courtois, Z. Szuts, M. Baringer, S. Cunningham, C. Atkinson, and G. McCarthy (2015): Continuous Estimate of Atlantic Oceanic Freshwater Flux at 26.5°N., J. Climate. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00519.1
Menary, M.B., D.L.R. Hodson, J.I. Robson, R.T. Sutton, R.A. Wood, J.A. Hunt (2015): Exploring the impact of CMIP5 model biases on the simulation of North Atlantic decadal variability, Geophysical Research Letters, 42(14): 5926-5934. doi:10.1002/2015GL06436
Messori, G. and A. Czaja (2015): On local and zonal pulses of atmospheric heat transport in reanalysis data Local and Zonal Pulses of Atmospheric Heat Transport, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, Part B, 141: 2376-2389. doi:10.1002/qj.2529
Perez-Hernandez, M.D., McCarthy, G.D., Velez-Belchí, P., Smeed, D.A., Fraile-Nuez, E., Hernández-Guerra, A. (2015): The Canary basin contribution to the seasonal cycle of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation at 26°N, J. Geophys. Res. Oceans, Accepted. doi:10.1002/2015JC010969
Srokosz, M.A.; Bryden, H.L. (2015): Observing the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation yields a decade of inevitable surprises, Science, 348 (6241). doi:10.1126/science.1255575
2014
Allison, L., E. Hawkins, T. Woollings (2014): An event-based approach to understanding decadal fluctuations in the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation, Climate Dynamics, 1-2. doi:10.1007/s00382-014-2271-9
Blaker A, J. J.-M. Hirschi, G. McCarthy, B. Sinha, S.,Taws, R. Marsh, A. Coward, B. de Cuevas (2014): Historical analogues of the recent extreme minima observed in the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation at 26N, Climate Dynamics, 1-2. doi:10.1007/s00382-014-2274-6
Bryden, H.L. ,King, B.A.,McCarthy, G.D., McDonagh, E.L. (2014): Impact of a 30% reduction in Atlantic meridional overturning during 2009-2010, Ocean Sci., 10: 683-691. doi:10.5194/os-10-683-2014
Clément, L., Frajka-Williams, E., Szuts, Z.B., Cunningham, S.A. (2014): Vertical structure of eddies and Rossby waves, and their effect on the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation at 26.5°N, J. Geophys. Res.: Oceans, 119 (9): 6479-6498. doi:10.1002/2014JC010146
Duchez, A., Hirschi, J. J. M., Cunningham, S. A., Blaker, A. T., Bryden, H.L., De Cuevas, Atkinson, C. P., McCarthy, G. D., Frajka-Williams, E., Rayner, D., Smeed, D., and Mizielinski, M. S. (2014): A new index for the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation at 26°N, J. Climate, 27: 6439-6455. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00052.1
Elipot, S., Frajka-Williams, E., Hughes, C.W., Willis, J.K. (2014): The Observed North Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation: Its Meridional Coherence and Ocean Bottom Pressure, J. Phys. Oceanogr., 44 (2): 517-537. doi:10.1175/JPO-D-13-026.1
Hawkins, E., Dong, B., Robson, J., Sutton, R., Smith, D. (2014): The Interpretation and Use of Biases in Decadal Climate Predictions, J. Climate, 27: 2931-2947. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00473.1
Hermanson, L., N. Dunstone, K. Haines, J. Robson, D. Smith, R. Sutton (2014): A novel transport assimilation method for the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation at 26°N Novel Transport Assimilation for the Atlantic MOC, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 140(685). doi:10.1002/qj.2321
Polo, I., Robson, J., Sutton, R., Balmaseda, M.A. (2014): The Importance of Wind and Buoyancy Forcing for the Boundary Density Variations and the Geostrophic Component of the AMOC at 26°N, J. Phys. Oceanogr., 44: 2387-2408. doi:10.1175/JPO-D-13-0264.1
Smeed, D.A., McCarthy, G.D., Cunningham, S.A., Frajka-Williams, E., Rayner, D., Johns, W.E., Meinen, C.S., Baringer, M.O., Moat, B., Duchez, A., Bryden, H.L. (2014): Observed decline of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation 2004-2012, Ocean Science, 10: 29-38. doi:10.5194/os-10-29-2014
Tett, S.F.B., Sherwin, T.J., Shravat, A., Browne, O. (2014): How Much Has the North Atlantic Ocean Overturning Circulation Changed in the Last 50 Years?, J. Climate, 27 (16): 6325-6342. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00095.1
Williamson, D., Blaker, A. T., Hampton, C. Salter, J. (2014): Identifying and removing structural biases in climate models with history matching, Climate Dynamics, 2014. doi:10.1007/s00382-014-2378-z Williamson_et_al_StructErrorPaper.pdf
2013
Cunningham, S.A., Roberts, C.D., Frajka-Williams, E., Johns, W.E., Hobbs,W., Palmer, M.D. Rayner, D., Smeed, D.A., McCarthy, G. (2013): Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation slowdown cooled the subtropical ocean, GRL, 40: 6202-6207. doi:10.1002/2013GL058464
Duchez, A., Frajka-Williams, E., Castro, N., Hirschi1, J. J.-M., Coward, A. (2013): Seasonal to interannual variability in density around the Canary Islands and their influence on the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation at 26N, JGR, 44(2): 517-537. doi:10.1175/JPO-D-13-026.1
Elipot, S. and C.W. Hughes (2013): Coherence of Western Boundary Pressure at the RAPID WAVE Array: Boundary Wave Adjustments or Deep Western Boundary Current Advection?, Journal of Physical Oceanography. doi:10.1175/JPO-D-12-067.1
Haines, K., Stepanov, V. N., Valdivieso, M. and Zuo, H. (2013): Atlantic meridional heat transports in two ocean reanalyes evaluated against the RAPID array, GRL, 40 (2): 343-348. doi:0.1029/2012GL054581
Hirschi, J.J.-M., A.T. Blaker, B. Sinha, A. Coward, B. de Cuevas, S. Alderson, and G. Madec (2013): Chaotic variability of the meridional overturning circulation on subannual to interannual timescales, Ocean Science, 9(5): 805-823. doi:10.5194/os-9-805-2013
Hughes, C.W., S. Elipot, and M. Á. Morales Maqueda (2013): Test of a Method for Monitoring the Geostrophic Meridional Overturning Circulation Using Only Boundary Measurements, Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology. doi:10.1175/JTECH-D-12-00149.1
Marshall D.P., and H.L. Johnson (2013): Propagation of Meridional Circulation Anomalies along Western and Eastern Boundaries, Journal of Physical Oceanography. doi:10.1175/JPO-D-13-0134.1
Mielke1, C., Frajka-Williams, E., Baehr, J. (2013): Observed and simulated variability of the AMOC at 26°N and 41°N, GRL, 40 (6): 1159-1164. doi:10.1002/grl.50233
Robson, J., Sutton, R., Smith, D. (2013): Predictable climate impacts of the decadal changes in the ocean in the 1990s, J. Climate, 26: 6329-6339. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00827.1
Sinha, B., Topliss, B., Blaker, A. T., Hirschi, J.-M. (2013): A numerical model study of the effects of interannual time scale wave propagation on the predictability of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation, JGR Oceans, 118 (1): 131-146. doi:10.1029/2012JC008334
Sonnewald1, M., Hirschi1, J. J.-M. Marsh, R., McDonagh, E. L., King, B. A. (2013): Atlantic meridional ocean heat transport at 26N: impact on subtropical ocean heat content variability, Ocean Sci., 9: 1057-1069. doi:10.5194/os-9-1057-2013
Williamson, D., Goldstein, M., Allison, L., Blaker, A. T., Challenor, P., Jackson, L. (2013): History matching for the quantification and reduction of parametric uncertainty in climate model projections, Climate Dynamics, 41: 1703-1729. doi:10.1007/s00382-013-1896-4
2012
Bamber, J., M. van den Broeke, J. Ettema, J. Lenaerts, E., Rignot (2012): Recent large increases in freshwater fluxes from Greenland into the North Atlantic, Geophysical Research Letters, 19. doi:10.1029/2012GL052552
Baringer M. O., Cunningham S.A., Meinen C. S., Garzoli S., Willis J., Lankhorst M., Macdonald A., Send U., Hobbs W. R., Frajka-Williams E., Kanzow T. O., Rayner D., Johns W. E., Bryden H. L. and Marotzke J. (2012): Meridional Overturning Circulation and Heat Transport Observations in the Atlantic Ocean, in State of the Climate in 2011, Blunden, J., D. S. Arndt (eds.), Bull. Am. Met. Soc., 93: S1–S282. doi:10.1175/2012BAMSStateoftheClimate.1
Bigg, G., C.D. Clark, S.L. Greenwood, H. Haflidason, A.L.C. Hughes, R.C. Levine, A. Nygard, H.P. Sejrup (2012): Sensitivity of the North Atlantic circulation to break-up of the marine sectors of the NW European ice sheets during the last Glacial: A synthesis of modelling and palaeoceanography, Global and Planetary Change. doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2012.09.004
Blaker, A.T., Hirschi, J.J-M., Sinha, B., de Cuevas, B., Alderson, S., Coward, A. and Madec, G. (2012): Large near-inertial oscillations of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation, Ocean Modelling, 42: 50-56. doi:10.1016/j.ocemod.2011.11.008
Challenor, P.G (2012): Using Emulators to Estimate Uncertainty in Complex Models, pp151-164 in Uncertainty Quantification in Scientific Computing, Eds A.M Dienstrey and R.F Boisvert, IFIP AICT 377, Springer.
Daley, T.J., K.E. Barber (2012): Multi-proxy Holocene palaeoclimate records from Walton Moss, northern England and Dosenmoor, northern Germany, assessed using three statistical approaches, Quaternary International, 268: 111-127. doi:10.1016/j.quaint.2011.10.026
Haines, K., M. Valdivieso, H. Zuo, and V. Stepanov (2012): Transports and budgets in a 1/4° global ocean reanalysis 1989-2010, Ocean Science Discussions, 9: 261-290. doi:10.5194/osd-9-261-2012
Hirschi, J. J.-M., Blaker, A. T., Sinha, B., Coward, A., de Cuevas, B., Alderson, S., and Madec, G. (2012): Chaotic variability of the meridional overturning circulation on subannual to interannual timescales, Ocean Sci. Discuss., 9: 3191-3238. doi:10.5194/osd-9-3191-2012
McCarthy, G., Frajka-Williams, E., Johns, W. E., Baringer, M. O., Meinen, C. S., Bryden, H. L., Rayner, D., Duchez, A., Cunningham, S. A. (2012): Observed interannual variability of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation at 26.5 ° N., Geophysical Research Letters, 39: L19609. doi:10.1029/2012GL052933
Palmer, A., Rose, J., Rasmussen, S.O. (2012): Evidence for phase-locked changes in climate between Scotland and Greenland during GS-1 (Younger Dryas) using micromorphology of glaciolacustrine varves from Glen Roy, Quaternary Science Reviews, 36: 114-123. doi:10.1016/j.quascirev.2011.12.003
Robson, J. I., Sutton, R. T., and Smith. D. M. (2012): Initialized decadal predictions of the rapid warming of the North Atlantic Ocean in the mid 1990s, Geophysical Research Letters, 39: L19713. doi:10.1029/2012GL053370
Robson, J., .Sutton,R., Lohmann, K., Smith, D., Palmer, M.D. (2012): Causes of the Rapid Warming of the North Atlantic Ocean in the Mid-1990s, J. Climate, 25: 4116–4134. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00443.1
Srokoz, M.A., Baringer, M.O., Bryden, H.L., Cunningham, S.A., Delworth, T., Lozier S., Marotzke, J. and Sutton, R. (2012): Past, present and future change in the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, e-View. doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00151.1
Stepanov, V. N., Haines, K. and Smith, G. C. (2012): Assimilation of RAPID array observations into an ocean model, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. doi:10.1002/qj.1945
Sutton, R. T., and Dong, B. (2012): Atlantic Ocean influence on a shift in European climate in the 1990s, Nature Geoscience, on-line. doi:10.1038/ngeo1595
Walker, M.J.C., Lowe, J.J., Blockley, S., Bryant, C., Coombes, P., Davies, S., Hardiman, M., Turney, C., Watson, J. (2012): Lateglacial and early Holocene palaeoenvironmental events in Sluggan Bog, Northern Ireland: comparisons with the Greenland NGrip GICC05 event stratigraphy, Quaternary Science Reviews, 79: 264-274. doi:10.1016/j.quascirev.2011.09.008
Williamson, D., Blaker, A. T., Arnfield, M., Hampton, C., Salter, J. (2012): Identifying and removing structural biases in climate models with history matching, University of Exeter Technical Report: 21pp. Copy of Tech. Report
Williamson, D., Goldstein, M., Blaker, A. T. (2012): Fast Linked Analyses for Scenario based Hierarchies, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series C, 61: 5. doi:10.1111/j.1467-9876.2012.01042.x
2011
Balan Sarojini, B., Gregory, J. M., Tailleux, R., Bigg, G. R., Blaker, A. T., Cameron, D. R., Edwards, N. R., Megann, A. P., Shaffrey, L. C., and Sinha, B. (2011): High frequency variability of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation, Ocean Sci., 7: 471-486. doi:10.5194/os-7-471-2011
Balan Sarojini, B., J. M. Gregory, R. Tailleux, G. R. Bigg, A. T. Blaker, D. Cameron, N. R. Edwards, A. P. Megann, L. C. Shaffrey, B. Sinha (2011): High frequency variability of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation, Ocean Sciences, 7: 471-486. doi:10.5194/os-7-471-2011
Bigg, G., R.C. Levine, C. L.Green (2011): Modelling abrupt glacial North Atlantic freshening: Rates of change and their implications for Heinrich events, Global and Planetary Change, 3-4. doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2010.11.001
Bryden, H. L., B. A. King and G. D. McCarthy (2011): South Atlantic overturning circulation at 24S, Journal of Marine Research, 69: 39-56. doi:10.1357/002224011798147633
Challenor, P. (2011): Designing a Computer Experiment that Involves Switches, Journal of Statistical Theory and Practice, 5(1): 47-57. Link to on-line journal
Daley, T. J., Thomas, E. R., Holmes, J. A., Street-Perrott, F. A., Chapman, M. R., Tindall, J. C., Valdes, P. J., Loader, N. J., Marshall, J. D., Wolff, E. W., Hopley, P. J., Atkinson, T., Barber, K. E., Fisher, E.H., Robertson, I., Hughes, P.D.M. (2011): The 8200yr BP cold event in stable isotope records from the North Atlantic region, Global and Planetary Change, 79: 288-302. doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2011.03.006
Edwards, N. R., Cameron, D. and Rougier, J. (2011): Precalibrating an intermediate complexity climate model, Climate Dynamics, 37: 1469-1482. doi:10.1007/s00382-010-0921-0
Farmer, E. J., Chapman, M. R. and Andrews, J. E (2011): Holocene temperature evolution of the subpolar North Atlantic recorded in the Mg/Ca ratios of surface and thermocline dwelling planktonic foraminifers, Global and Planetary Change, 79: 234-243. doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2011.02.003
Gregory, J. M. and Tailleux, R. (2011): Kinetic energy analysis of the response of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation to CO2-forced climate change, Climate Dynamics, 37: 893-914. doi:10.1007/s00382-010-0847-6
Hawkins, E. and Sutton, R. (2011): Estimating climatically relevant singular vectors for decadal predictions of the Atlantic Ocean, Journal of Climate, 24(1): 109-123. doi:10.1175/2010JCLI3579.1
Hawkins, E., R.S. Smith, L.C. Allison, J.M. Gregory, T.J. Woollings, H. Pohlmann, B. de Cuevas (2011): Bistability of the Atlantic overturning circulation in a global climate model and links to ocean freshwater transport, Geophysical Research Letters, 38(10). doi:10.1029/2011GL047208
Hawkins, E., Smith, Allison, L., Woollings, T., Gregory, J., Pohlmann, R., de Cuevas, B. (2011): Bistability of the Atlantic overturning circulation in a GCM and links to ocean freshwater transport, Geophysical Research Letters, 38: L10605. doi:10.1029/2011GL048997
Holmes, J., Lowe, J.J., Wolff, E., Srokosz, M. (2011): Rapid climate change: lessons from the geological past, Global and Planetary Change, 79: 157-162. doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2010.10.005
Jackson, L., M. Vellinga and G. Harris (2011): The sensitivity of the Meridional Overturning Circulation to modelling uncertainty in a perturbed physics ensemble without flux adjustment, Climate Dynamics. doi:10.1007/s00382-011-1110-5
Johns, W. E., Baringer, M. O., Beal, L. M., Cunningham, S. A., Kanzow, T., Bryden, H. L., Hirschi, J. J.-M., Marotzke, J., Meinen, C. S., Shaw, B., Curry, R. (2011): Continuous, array-based estimates of Atlantic Ocean heat transport at 26.5N, Journal of Climate, 24 (10): 2429-2449. doi:10.1175/2010JCLI3997.1
Jones, R.T., (2011): Controls on lake level in the early to mid Holocene, Hawes Water, Lancashire, UK, The Holocene. doi:10.1177/0959683611400455
Longworth, H. R., H. L. Bryden and M. O. Baringer (2011): Historical variability in Atlantic meridional baroclinic transport at 26.5°N from boundary dynamic height observations, Deep-Sea Research II, 58: 1754-1767. doi:10.1016/j.dsr2.2010.10.057
MacLeod, A., Palmer, A., Lowe, J.J., Rose, J., Bryant, C., Merritt, J. (2011): Timing of glacier response to Younger Dryas climatic cooling in Scotland, Global and Planetary Change, 79: 264-274. doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2010.07.006
Marschall, D.P. (2011): Rossby wormholes, Journal of Marine Research, 69: 309-330. doi:10.1357/002224011798765213
Marsh, R., S.A. Müller, A. Yool, and N.R. Edwards (2011): Incorporation of the C-GOLDSTEIN efficient climate model into the GENIE framework: "eb_go_gs" configurations of GENIE, Geoscientific Model Development, 4(4): 957-992. doi:10.5194/gmd-4-957-2011
Matthews, I.P., Birks, H.H., Bourne, A., Brooks, S., Lowe, J.J. MacLeod, A., Pyne-O'Donnell, S. (2011): New age estimates and climatostratigraphic correlations for the Borrobol and Penifiler Tephras: evidence from Abernethy Forest, Scotland., Journal of Quaternary Science, 26: 247-257. doi:10.1002/jqs.1498
Miller, K. R., Chapman, M.R., Andrews, J.E. and Koc, N. (2011): Diatom phytoplankton response to Holocene climate change in the Subpolar North Atlantic, Global and Planetary Change, 79: 214-225. doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2011.03.001
Ortega, P., Hawkins, E. and Sutton, R. (2011): Processes governing the predictability of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation in a coupled GCM, Climate Dynamics, 37(9-10): 1771-1782. doi:10.1007/s00382-011-1025-1
Palastanga, V., van der Schrier, G., Weber, S. L., Kleinen, T., Briffa, K. R., Osborn, T. J. (2011): Atmosphere and ocean dynamics: contributors to the European Little Ice Age?, Clim. Dyn., 36: 973-987. doi:10.1007/s00382-010-0751-0
Pyne-O'Donnell, S. (2011): The taphonomy of Last Glacial/Interglacial Transition (LGIT) distal volcanic ash in small Scottish lakes, Boreas, 40: 131-145. doi:10.1111/j.1502-3885.2010.00154.x
Rayner, D., Hirschi, J. J-M., Kanzow, T., Johns, W. E., Wright, P. G., Frajka-Williams, E., Bryden, H. L., Meinen, C. S., Baringer, M. O., Marotzke, J., Beal, L. M., Cunningham, S. A. (2011): Monitoring the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation, Deep-Sea Research II, 58(17018): 1744–1753. doi:d10.1016/j.dsr2.2010.10.056
Taws S.L., Marsh,R., Wells,N.C., Hirschi,J.J.-M. (2011): Re-emerging ocean temperature anomalies in late-2010 associated with a repeat negative NAO, GRL, 38, 20: 10.1029/2011GL0489.
Thornalley, D. J. R., Barker, S., Broecker, W. S., Elderfield, H., McCave, N. (2011): The deglacial evolution of North Atlantic deep convection, Science, Vol.331 no.6014: 202-205. doi:10.1126/science.1196812
Thornalley, D.J.R., Elderfield, H., McCave, I.N. (2011): Reconstructing North Atlantic deglacial surface hydrography and its link to the Atlantic overturning circulation, Global and Planetary Change, 79: 163-175. doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2010.06.003
Wu, P., Jackson, L., Pardaens, A. and Schaller, N. (2011): Extended warming of the northern high latitudes due to an overshoot of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation, Geophysical Research Letters, 38: L24704. doi:10.1029/2011GL049998
2010
Aksenov, Y., Bacon, S., Coward, A. C., Nurser, A. J. G. (2010): The North Atlantic Inflow into the Nordic Seas and Arctic Ocean: a high-resolution model study., J. Marine Sys., 79: Jan-22. doi:10.1016/j.jmarsys.2009.05.003
Atkinson, C. P., Bryden, H. L., Hirschi, J. J.-M., Kanzow, T. (2010): On the seasonal cycles and variability of Florida Straits, Ekman and Sverdrup transports at 26°N in the Atlantic Ocean, Ocean Science, 6(4): 837-859. doi:10.5194/os-6-837-2010 www.ocean-sci.net/6/837/2010/
Atkinson, C.P., Bryden, H.L., Hirschi, J.J.-M. and Kanzow, T. (2010): On the variability of Florida Straits and wind driven transports at 26°N in the Atlantic Ocean, Ocean Science Discussions, 7, (2): 919-971. doi:10.5194/osd-7-919-2010
Bacon, S., Saunders, P. M. (2010): The Deep Western Boundary Current at Cape Farewell: results from a Moored Current Meter Array., J. Phys. Oceanogr., Vol. 40: 815-829. doi:10.1175/2009JPO4091.1
Baehr, J., Cunningham, S., Haak, H., Heimbach, P., Kanzow, T. and Marotzke, J. (2010): Corrigendum to 'Observed and simulated estimates of the meridional overturning circulation at 26.5N in the Atlantic' published in Ocean Sci., 5, 575–589, 2009, Ocean Science, 6 (1): p1. doi:10.5194/os-6-1-2010
Baringer, M. O., Kanzow, T. O., Meinen, C. S., Cunningham, S. A., Rayner, D., Johns, W. E., Bryden, H. L., Hirschi, J. J.-M., Beal, L. M., Marotzke, J. (2010): The meridional overturning circulation, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 91(7): Chapter 3: 14-17.
Bigg, G. R., Levine, R. C., Clark, C. D., Greenwood, S., Haflidason, H., Hughes, A. L. C., Nygård, A., Sejrup, H. P. (2010): Last Glacial ice-rafted debris off south-western Europe: the role of the British-Irish Ice Sheet, Journal of Quaternary Science, 25: 689-699.
Brayshaw, D.J., Hoskins, B. J., Blackburn, M. (2010): The Basic Ingredients of the North Atlantic Storm Track. Part I: Land?Sea Contrast and Orography, J. Atmos. Sci, 66: 2539-2558. doi:10.1175/2009JAS3078.1
Brendryen, J., Haflidason, H., and Sejrup, H. P. (2010): Norwegian Sea tephrostratigraphy of marine isotope stages 4 and 5: Prospects and problems for tephrochronology in the North Atlantic region, Quaternary Science Reviews, 29 (7-8): 847-864. doi:10.1016/j.quascirev.2009.12.004
Chapman, M. R. (2010): Seasonal production patterns of planktonic foraminifera in the NE Atlantic Ocean: Implications for paleotemperature and hydrographic reconstructions, Paleoceanography, 25: PA1101. doi:10.1029/2008PA001708
Chidichimo, M. P., Kanzow, T., Cunningham, S. A., Johns, W. E., Marotzke, J. (2010): The contribution of eastern-boundary density variations to the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation at 26.5° N, Ocean Science, 6: 475-490. doi:10.5194/os-6-475-2010 www.ocean-sci.net/6/475/2010/
Cox, K. A., Stanford, J. D., McVicar, A. J., Rohling, E. J., Heywood, K. J., Bacon, S., Bolshaw, M., Dodd, P. A., de la Rosa, S., Wilkinson, D. (2010): A perspective on the interannual variability of Arctic sea ice export into the East Greenland Current., J. Geophys. Res., Vol. 115: C12063. doi:10.1029/2010JC006227
Cunningham, S. A., Marsh, R. (2010): Observing and modelling changes in the Atlantic MOC, Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change, 1 (2): 180–191. doi:10.1002/wcc.22
Cunningham, S., Baringer, M., Johns, B., Toole, J., Østerhus, S., Fisher, J., Piola, A., McDonagah, E., Lozier, S., Send, U., Kanzow, T., Marotzke, J., Rhein, M., Garzoli, S., Rintoul, S., Sloyan, B., Speich, S., Talley, L., Baehr, J., Meinen, C., Treguier, A. and Lherminier, P., (2010): The present and future system for measuring the Atlantic Meridional overturning circulation and heat transport, OceanObs'09, Vol.2: WPP-306. doi:10.5270/OceanObs09.cwp.21
Czeschel, L., Marshall, D. P., Johnson, H. L. (2010): Oscillatory sensitivity of Atlantic overturning to high-latitude forcing, Geophys. Res. Lett., 37: L10601. doi:10.1029/2010GL043177
Daley, T.J., Barber, K.E., Street-Perrott, F.A., Loader, N.J. Marshall, J.D., Crowley, S.F., Fisher E.H (2010): Holocene climate variability revealed in Sphagnum cellulose oxygen-isotope analyses from Walton Moss, northern England., Quaternary Science Reviews, 29: 1590-1601. doi:10.1016/j.quascirev.2009.09.017
Farmer, E. J., Chapman, M. R., Andrews, J. E. A. (2010): North Atlantic Globorotalia inflata coretop Mg/Ca calibrations and temperature reconstructions over Termination I, IOP Conf. Series: Earth and Environmental Science, 9 (1). doi:10.1088/1755-1315/9/1/012019
Hall, I. R., Boessenkool, K. P., Barker, S., McCave, I. N., Elderfield, H. (2010): Surface and deep ocean coupling in the subpolar North Atlantic during the last 230 years., Paleoceanography, 25: PA2101. doi:10.1029/2009PA001886
Hall, I.R., Boessenkool, K.P., Barker, S., McCave, I.N., Elderfield, H. (2010): Surface and deep ocean coupling in the subpolar North Atlantic during the last 230 years, Paleoceanography. doi:10.1029/2009PA001886
Hawkins, E., Sutton, R. (2010): Estimating climatically relevant singular vectors for decadal predictions of the Atlantic Ocean, Journal of Climate, 24: 109-123. doi:10.1175/2010JCLI3579.1
Holden, P. B., Edwards, N. R. (2010): Dimensionally reduced emulation of an AOGCM for application to Integrated Assessment Modelling, Geophysical Research Letters, 37: L21707. doi:10.1029/2010GL045137
Holden, P. B., Edwards, N. R., Oliver, K. I. C., Lenton, T. M., Wilkinson, R. D. (2010): A probabilistic calibration of climate sensitivity and terrestrial carbon change in GENIE-1, Climate Dynamics, 35: 785-806. doi:10.1007/s00382-009-0630-8
Holden, P.B., N.R. Edwards, K.I.C. Oliver, T.M. Lenton and R.D. Wilkinson (2010): A probabilistic calibration of climate sensitivity and terrestrial carbon change in GENIE-1, Climate Dynamics, 35(5): 785-806. doi:10.1007/s00382-009-0630-8
Holmes, J., C. Arrowsmith, W. Austin, J. Boyle, E. Fisher, R. Holme, J. Marshall, F. Oldfield, K. van der Post (2010): Climate and atmospheric circulation changes over the past 1000 years reconstructed from oxygen isotopes in lake-sediment carbonate from Ireland The Holocene, : 10.1177/0959683610369504.
Holmes, J. A., Arrowsmith, C., Austin, W. E. N., Fisher, E., Holme, R., Marshall, J. D., Oldfield, F. van der Post, K. (2010): Climate and atmospheric circulation changes over the past 1000 years reconstructed from oxygen isotopes in lake-sediment carbonate from Ireland., The Holocene, 20: 1105-1111. doi:10.1177/0959683610369504
Housley, R.A., Blockley, S.P.E., Matthews, I.P., MacLeod, A., Lowe, J.J., Ramsay, S., Miller, J.J., Campbell, E.N. (2010): Late Holocene vegetation and palaeoenvironmental history of the Dunadd area, Argyll, Scotland: chronology of events, Journal of Archaeological Science, 37: 577-593. doi:10.1016/j.jas.2009.10.023
Ivchenko, V. O., Wells, N. C., Aleynik, D. L., Shaw, A. G. P. (2010): Variability of heat and salinity content in the North Atlantic in the last decade, Ocean Sci., 6: 719-735. doi:10.5194/os-6-719-2010 www.ocean-sci.net/6/719/2010/
Kanzow, T., Cunningham, S.A., Johns, W.E., Hirschi, J.J-M., Marotzke, J., Baringer, M.O., Meinen, C.S., Chidichimo, M.P., Atkinson, C., Beal, L.M., Bryden, H.L. and Collins, J. (2010): Seasonal variability of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation at 26.5°N., Journal of Climate, 23, (21): 5678-5698. doi:10.1175/2010JCLI3389.1
Lucas, Marc A., Hirschi, J.J-M. and Marotzke, J. (2010): Response of the meridional overturning circulation to variable buoyancy forcing in a double hemisphere basin, Climate Dynamics, 34, (5): 615-627. doi:10.1007/s00382-009-0704-7
Marsh, R., Desbruyères, D., Bamber, J. L., de Cuevas, B. A., Coward, A. C., Aksenov, Y. (2010): Short-term impacts of enhanced Greenland freshwater fluxes in an eddy-permitting ocean model, Ocean Sciences, 6(3): 749-760. doi:10.5194/os-6-749-2010 www.ocean-sci.net/6/749/2010/
Megann, A. P., New, A. L., Blaker, A. T., Sinha, B. (2010): The sensitivity of a coupled climate model to its ocean component, Journal of Climate, 23: 5126-5150. doi:10.1175/2010JCLI3394.1
Palmer, A., Rose, J., Lowe, J.J., MacLeod, A. (2010): Annually resolved events of Younger Dryas glaciation in Lochaber (Glen Roy and Glen Spean), Western Scottish Highlands, Journal of Quaternary Science, 25: 581-596. doi:10.1002/jqs.1370
Palmer, A.P., Rose, J., Lowe, J.J., MacLeod, A. (2010): Annually resolved events of Younger Dryas glaciations in Lochaber (Glen Roy and Glen Spean), Western Scottish Highlands, Journal of Quaternary Science, 25 (4): 581-596. doi:10.1002/jqs.1370
Penduff, T., M. Juza, L. Brodeau, G. C. Smith, B. Barnier, J.-M. Molines, A.-M. Treguier, and G.Madec (2010): Impact of global ocean model resolution on sea-level variability with emphasis on interannual time scales, Ocean Science, 6: 269-284. doi:10.5194/os-6-269-2010
Pyne-O'Donnell, S. (2010): The taphonomy of Last Glacial-Interglacial Transition (LGIT) distal volcanic ash in small Scottish lakes, Boreas (International Journal of Quaternary research), 40: 131-145. doi:10.1111/j.1502-3885.2010.00154.x
Rogerson, M., Colmenero-Hidalgo, E., Levine, R.C., de Abreu, L., Rohling, E.J., Voelker, A.H.L, Bigg, G.R., Schönfeld, J., Cacho, I., Sierro, F.J., Löwemark, L., Reguera, M.I., de Abreu, L., Garrick, K. (2010): Enhanced Mediterranean-Atlantic exchange during Atlantic freshening phases, Geochem. Geophys. Geosys., 11: Q08013. doi:10.1029/2009GC002931
Rose, J. (2010): Quaternary climates: a perspective for global warming., Proceedings of the Geologists Association, 121: 334-341. doi:10.1016/j.pgeola.2010.07.001
Rose, J. (2010): The Quaternary of the British Isles: factors forcing environmental change, Journal of Quaternary Science, 25: 399-418. doi:10.1002/jqs.1389
Smith, G. C., Haines, K., Kanzow, T., Cunningham, S. A. (2010): Impact of hydrographic data assimilation on the modelled Atlantic meridional overturning circulation, Ocean Science, 6: 761-774. doi:10.5194/os-6-7
Tailleux, R. (2010): Entropy versus APE production: On the buoyancy power input in the ocean's energy cycle, Geophysical Research Letters, 37: L22603. doi:10.1029/2010GL044962
Tailleux, R. (2010): Identifying and quantifying nonconservative energy production/destruction terms in hydrostatic Boussinesq primitive equation models, Ocean Modelling, 34: 125-136. doi:10.1016/j.ocemod.2010.05.003
Tailleux, R., Rouleau, L. (2010): The effect of mechanical stirring on horizontal convection, Tellus A, 62: 138-153. doi:10.1111/j.1600-0870.2009.00426.x
Thornalley, D. J. R., Elderfield, H., McCave, I. N. (2010): Intermediate and deep water paleoceanography of the northern North Atlantic over the past 21,000 years, Paleoceanography, 25: PA1211. doi:10.1029/2009PA001833
Thornalley, D. J. R., McCave, I. N., Elderfield, H. (2010): Freshwater input and abrupt deglacial climate change in the North Atlantic, Paleoceanography, 25: PA1201. doi:10.1029/2009PA001772
Vinther, B.M., Jones, P.D., Briffa, K.R., Clausen, H.B., Andersen, K.K., Dahl-Jensen, D., Johnsen, S.J. (2010): Climatic signals in multiple highly resolved stable isotope records from Greenland, Quaternary Science Reviews, 29: 522-538. doi:10.1016/j.quascirev.2009.11.002
Wilson, C., Sinha, B., Williams, R.G. (2010): The shaping of storm tracks by mountains and ocean dynamics, Weather, 65 (12): 320-323. doi:10.1002/wea.633
Woollings , T., B. Hoskins, M. Blackburn, Hassell, D., Hodges, K. (2010): Storm track sensitivity to sea surface temperature resolution in a regional atmosphere model, Clim. Dyn., 3: 341-353. doi:10.1007/s00382-009-0554-3
Woollings, T., Hannachi, A., Hoskins, B., Turner, A. (2010): A regime view of the North Atlantic Oscillation and its response to anthropogenic forcing, J Clim, 23: 1291-1307. doi:10.1175/2009JCLI3087.1
2009
Atkinson, C.P., Wells, N.C., Blaker, A.T., Sinha, B., Ivchenko, V.O. (2009): Rapid ocean wave teleconnections linking Antarctic sea salinity anomalies to the equatorial ocean-atmosphere system, GRL, 36. doi:10.1029/2008GL036976
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2008
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Baehr, J., Hirschi, J., Beismann, J., Marotzke, J. (2004): Monitoring the meridional overturning circulation in the North Atlantic: a model-based array design study, Journal of Marine Research, 62 (3): 283-312. doi:10.1357/0022240041446191
Coutinho, M. M., Hoskins, B. J., Buizza, R (2004): The influence of physical processes on extrtropical singular vectors, Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 61(2): 195-209. doi:10.1175/1520-0469(2004)061<0195:TIOPPO>2.0.CO;2
Goldstein, M. and J. Rougier (2004): Probabilistic Formulations for Transferring Inferences from Mathematical Models to Physical Systems, SIAM Journal on Scientific Computing, 26(2): 467-487. doi:10.1137/S106482750342670X
Goldstein, M., Rougier, J. (2004): Modeling evidence for enhanced El Nino-Southern Oscillation amplitude during the Last Glacial Maximum, Siam Journal on Scientific Computing, 26: 467-487. doi:10.1029/2004PA001020
Hargreaves, J. C., J. D. Annan, N. R. Edwards, R. Marsh (2004): An efficient climate forecasting method using an intermediate complexity Earth System Model and the ensemble Kalman filter, Climate Dynamics, 23: 745-760. doi:10.1007/s00382-004-0471-4
Ivchenko, V. O., V. B. Zalesny, and M. Drinkwater (2004): Can the equatorial ocean quickly respond to Antarctic sea ice/salinity anomalies?, Geophysical Research Letters, 31: L15310. doi:10.1029/2004GL020472
Ivchenko, V.O., V.B. Zalesny, M.R. Drinkwater (2004): Can the equatorial ocean quickly respond to Antarctic sea ice/salinity anomalies?, Geophysical Research Letters, 31(15). doi:10.1029/2004GL020472
Linsley, B.K., Wellington, G.M., Schrag, D.P., Ren, L., Salinger, M.J., Tudhope, A.W. (2004): Geochemical evidence from corals for changes in the amplitude and spatial pattern of South Pacific interdecadal climate variability over the last 300 years, Climate Dynamics, 22: 01-Nov. doi:10.1007/S00382-003-0364-Y
Marsh R., A. Yool, T. M. Lenton, M. Y. Gulamali, N. R. Edwards, J. G. Shepherd, M. Krznaric, S. Newhouse, and S. J. Cox (2004): Bistability of the thermohaline circulation identified through comprehensive 2-parameter sweeps of an efficient climate model, Climate Dynamics, 23 (7-8): 761-777. doi:10.1007/s00382-004-0474-1
Naveira Garabato A. C., K. I. C. Oliver, A. J. Watson, M.-J. Messias (2004): Turbulent diapycnal mixing in the Nordic seas, Journal of Geophysical Research, 109, C12010, 10.1029/2004JC002411.
Osborn, T. J. and K. R. Briffa (2004): The real color of climate change?, Science, 306: 621-622. doi:10.1126/science.1104416
Rohling, E. J., R. Marsh, N. C. Wells, M. Siddall, and N. R. Edwards (2004): Similar meltwater contributions to glacial sea level changes from Antarctic and northern ice sheets, Nature, 430: 1016-1021. doi:10.1038/nature02859
Roussenov, V., R. G. Williams, M. J. Follows, and R.M. Key (2004): The role of bottom water transport and diapycnic mixing in controlling the radiocarbon distribution in the deep Pacific, Journal of Geophysical Research, 109: C06015. doi:10.1029/2003JC002188
2003
Hirschi, J., J. Baehr, J. Marotzke, J. Stark, S.A. Cunningham, and J.-O. Beismann (2003): A monitoring design for the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation, Geophysical Research Letters, 30 (7): 1413. doi:10.1029/2002GL016776
Srokosz M.A (2003): Rapid climate change - scientific challenges and the new NERC programme, Phil. Trans. R. Soc. Lond. A, 361, 2061-2078: 10.1098/rsta.2003.1243.
2002
Williamson, M. (2002): Disaster watch, IEE Review, 48: 19-24. doi:10.1049/IR:20020402