Programme

Tuesday 19 September

14.00

Welcome

14.10
Theme 1: Ocean-Atmosphere-Cryosphere Interactions.   Chair: David Anderson

14.10

Tor Eldevik: On observed northern climate change and predictability. Invited     Abstract

14.50

Nick Dunstone: Skilful predictions of Northern European summer rainfall.   Abstract

15.10

Albert Osso: Observational evidence of European summer weather patterns predictable from spring.   Abstract

15.30
Tea / coffee
16.00
Theme 1 continues.   Chair: Elaine McDonagh

16.00

Gokhan Danabasoglu: Modulation of Arctic Sea Ice Loss by Atmospheric Teleconnections from Atlantic Multi-decadal Variability.   Abstract and presentation download [registered meeting participants only]

16.20

Doug Smith: How does Arctic sea ice affect the North Atlantic Oscillation?.   Abstract

16.40

Christopher O'Reilly: Oceanic control of turbulent heat flux on decadal timescales in observations and models.   Abstract and presentation download

17.00

Simon Josey: Causes and Consequences of the Recent Atlantic Cold Anomaly.   Abstract and presentation download

17.20

Sybren Drijfhout: Simulated Atmospheric Response to the 2015 North Atlantic SST Cold Blob.   Abstract and presentation download [Restricted. Please contact author for password]

17.40

Said Qasmi: Understanding CMIP5 model diversity in simulating the teleconnection between Atlantic Multidecadal Variability and European temperature.   Abstract

18.00
Reception and poster session (themes 1, 2 and 4)

Wednesday 20 September

09.00
Theme 3: Understanding Change and Variability.   Chair: Lesley Gray

09.00

Adam Scaife: Long Range Predictability of the Atmosphere in the North Atlantic Sector. Invited   Abstract

09.40

Leonard Borchert: A Link between Interannual Heat Transport Variability and Surface Temperature Predictability in the North Atlantic.   Abstract and presentation download

10.00

Tim Woollings: Decadal modulation of Atlantic jet variability.   Abstract and presentation download

10.20

Steve Yeager: Skilful multi-year predictions of precipitation over land using CESM.   Abstract

10.40
Tea / coffee
11.10
Theme 3 continues.   Chair: Rowan Sutton

11.10

Pablo Ortega: The role of subsurface salinity in controlling decadal variability of convection: A model-based study.   Abstract and presentation download [registered meeting participants only]

11.30

David Thornalley: Shift to modern weaker state of Labrador Sea convection and reduced AMOC during the Industrial-era.   Abstract and presentation download [Restricted. Please contact author for password]

11.50

Paola Moffa Sanchez: North Atlantic variability and its links to European climate over the last 3000 years.   Abstract

12.10

Leon Hermanson: Volcanic impacts on large-scale climate modes in a multi-model ensemble.   Abstract

12.30
Lunch
14.00
Theme 3 poster session with tea/coffee at 15:30.
16.00
Theme 3 continues.   Chair: David Marshall

16.00

Elaine McDonagh: Biogeochemical Fluxes in the N. Atlantic: results for the ABC fluxes project. Invited   Abstract

16.40

David Smeed: The late 2000's decrease in the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation.   Abstract

17.00

Florian Sevellec: Arctic sea ice decline weakens the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation.   Abstract and presentation download

17.20

Helene Langehaug: Thermohaline variability along the Atlantic water pathway in the forced Norwegian Earth System Model.   Abstract

17.40

Agathe Germe: Chaotic vs externally forced variability of the Atlantic Meridional overturning circulation on intra and inter-annual timescales.   Abstract

18.00
Day 2 closes
20.00
Conference dinner

Thursday 21 September

09.00
Theme 3 continues.   Chair: Jon Robson

09.00

Ioana Colfescu: Attribution of Atlantic Multidecadal Variability to External Forcing, Internal Variability, and Weather Noise.   Abstract

09.20

Dan Jones: Local and remote influences on the Labrador Sea: an adjoint sensitivity study.   Abstract and presentation download [registered meeting participants only]

09.40

Lesley Allison: Recent changes in North Atlantic heat content in the GloSea5 ocean reanalysis.   Abstract and presentation download [registered meeting participants only]

10.00

Tobia Tudino: Anthropogenic impacts on carbon uptake variability in the subtropical North Atlantic: 1992 - 2010.   Abstract

10.20
Tea / coffee
10.50
Theme 2: Characterising the North Atlantic Climate System in 4-D.   Chair: Penny Holliday

10.50

Lynne Talley: The AMOC and the global overturning circulation: controls and interactions. Invited   Abstract

11.30

Gerard McCarthy: The importance of deep, basin wide measurements in optimized Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation observing arrays.   Abstract

11.50

Bill Johns: Transport of the Iceland-Scotland Overflow plume along the eastern flank of the Reykjanes Ridge: New observations from OSNAP.   Abstract

12.10

Alain Colin de Verdiere: Determination of the Overturning and meridional heat transports in the North Atlantic subpolar gyre with Argo Floats.   Abstract and presentation download

12.30

Laura Jackson: Using a multi-model ensemble of ocean reanalyses to understand recent changes in the North Atlantic ocean   Abstract

12.50
Lunch
14.00
Theme 2 continues.   Chair: Meric Srokosz

14.00

Yavor Kostov: Sensitivity of the subtropical AMOC to variability in the North Atlantic subpolar gyre.   Abstract

14.20

Mike Bell: Toward useful conceptual models of Meridional Overturning Circulations and Ocean Heat Uptake,   Abstract and presentation download

14.40
Theme 4: Towards budgets.   Chair: Meric Srokosz

14.40

Ben Moat: Transports of freshwater and heat in the subtropical North Atlantic.   Abstract

15.00

Jennifer Mecking: The effect of model bias on Atlantic freshwater transport and implications for AMOC bi-stability.   Abstract

15.20

Claire Macintosh: Uncertainty in Steric Sea level.   Abstract

15.40

Nick Bates: A Year in the Life of Gulf Stream Seasonality and Transport of Inorganic Carbon at Florida Strait.   Abstract

16.00
Meeting closes
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