Programme
Tuesday 19 September
14.00 |
Welcome |
14.10 |
Theme 1: Ocean-Atmosphere-Cryosphere Interactions. Chair: David Anderson |
14.10 |
Tor Eldevik: On observed northern climate change and predictability. Invited Abstract |
14.50 |
Nick Dunstone: Skilful predictions of Northern European summer rainfall. Abstract |
15.10 |
Albert Osso: Observational evidence of European summer weather patterns predictable from spring. Abstract |
15.30 |
Tea / coffee |
16.00 |
Theme 1 continues. Chair: Elaine McDonagh |
16.00 |
Gokhan Danabasoglu: Modulation of Arctic Sea Ice Loss by Atmospheric Teleconnections from Atlantic Multi-decadal Variability. Abstract and presentation download [registered meeting participants only] |
16.20 |
Doug Smith: How does Arctic sea ice affect the North Atlantic Oscillation?. Abstract |
16.40 |
Christopher O'Reilly: Oceanic control of turbulent heat flux on decadal timescales in observations and models. Abstract and presentation download |
17.00 |
Simon Josey: Causes and Consequences of the Recent Atlantic Cold Anomaly. Abstract and presentation download |
17.20 |
Sybren Drijfhout: Simulated Atmospheric Response to the 2015 North Atlantic SST Cold Blob. Abstract and presentation download [Restricted. Please contact author for password] |
17.40 |
Said Qasmi: Understanding CMIP5 model diversity in simulating the teleconnection between Atlantic Multidecadal Variability and European temperature. Abstract |
18.00 |
Reception and poster session (themes 1, 2 and 4) |
Wednesday 20 September
09.00 |
Theme 3: Understanding Change and Variability. Chair: Lesley Gray |
09.00 |
Adam Scaife: Long Range Predictability of the Atmosphere in the North Atlantic Sector. Invited Abstract |
09.40 |
Leonard Borchert: A Link between Interannual Heat Transport Variability and Surface Temperature Predictability in the North Atlantic. Abstract and presentation download |
10.00 |
Tim Woollings: Decadal modulation of Atlantic jet variability. Abstract and presentation download |
10.20 |
Steve Yeager: Skilful multi-year predictions of precipitation over land using CESM. Abstract |
10.40 |
Tea / coffee |
11.10 |
Theme 3 continues. Chair: Rowan Sutton |
11.10 |
Pablo Ortega: The role of subsurface salinity in controlling decadal variability of convection: A model-based study. Abstract and presentation download [registered meeting participants only] |
11.30 |
David Thornalley: Shift to modern weaker state of Labrador Sea convection and reduced AMOC during the Industrial-era. Abstract and presentation download [Restricted. Please contact author for password] |
11.50 |
Paola Moffa Sanchez: North Atlantic variability and its links to European climate over the last 3000 years. Abstract |
12.10 |
Leon Hermanson: Volcanic impacts on large-scale climate modes in a multi-model ensemble. Abstract |
12.30 |
Lunch |
14.00 |
Theme 3 poster session with tea/coffee at 15:30. |
16.00 |
Theme 3 continues. Chair: David Marshall |
16.00 |
Elaine McDonagh: Biogeochemical Fluxes in the N. Atlantic: results for the ABC fluxes project. Invited Abstract |
16.40 |
David Smeed: The late 2000's decrease in the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation. Abstract |
17.00 |
Florian Sevellec: Arctic sea ice decline weakens the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation. Abstract and presentation download |
17.20 |
Helene Langehaug: Thermohaline variability along the Atlantic water pathway in the forced Norwegian Earth System Model. Abstract |
17.40 |
Agathe Germe: Chaotic vs externally forced variability of the Atlantic Meridional overturning circulation on intra and inter-annual timescales. Abstract |
18.00 |
Day 2 closes |
20.00 |
Conference dinner |
Thursday 21 September
09.00 |
Theme 3 continues. Chair: Jon Robson |
09.00 |
Ioana Colfescu: Attribution of Atlantic Multidecadal Variability to External Forcing, Internal Variability, and Weather Noise. Abstract |
09.20 |
Dan Jones: Local and remote influences on the Labrador Sea: an adjoint sensitivity study. Abstract and presentation download [registered meeting participants only] |
09.40 |
Lesley Allison: Recent changes in North Atlantic heat content in the GloSea5 ocean reanalysis. Abstract and presentation download [registered meeting participants only] |
10.00 |
Tobia Tudino: Anthropogenic impacts on carbon uptake variability in the subtropical North Atlantic: 1992 - 2010. Abstract |
10.20 |
Tea / coffee |
10.50 |
Theme 2: Characterising the North Atlantic Climate System in 4-D. Chair: Penny Holliday |
10.50 |
Lynne Talley: The AMOC and the global overturning circulation: controls and interactions. Invited Abstract |
11.30 |
Gerard McCarthy: The importance of deep, basin wide measurements in optimized Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation observing arrays. Abstract |
11.50 |
Bill Johns: Transport of the Iceland-Scotland Overflow plume along the eastern flank of the Reykjanes Ridge: New observations from OSNAP. Abstract |
12.10 |
Alain Colin de Verdiere: Determination of the Overturning and meridional heat transports in the North Atlantic subpolar gyre with Argo Floats. Abstract and presentation download |
12.30 |
Laura Jackson: Using a multi-model ensemble of ocean reanalyses to understand recent changes in the North Atlantic ocean Abstract |
12.50 |
Lunch |
14.00 |
Theme 2 continues. Chair: Meric Srokosz |
14.00 |
Yavor Kostov: Sensitivity of the subtropical AMOC to variability in the North Atlantic subpolar gyre. Abstract |
14.20 |
Mike Bell: Toward useful conceptual models of Meridional Overturning Circulations and Ocean Heat Uptake, Abstract and presentation download |
14.40 |
Theme 4: Towards budgets. Chair: Meric Srokosz |
14.40 |
Ben Moat: Transports of freshwater and heat in the subtropical North Atlantic. Abstract |
15.00 |
Jennifer Mecking: The effect of model bias on Atlantic freshwater transport and implications for AMOC bi-stability. Abstract |
15.20 |
Claire Macintosh: Uncertainty in Steric Sea level. Abstract |
15.40 |
Nick Bates: A Year in the Life of Gulf Stream Seasonality and Transport of Inorganic Carbon at Florida Strait. Abstract |
16.00 |
Meeting closes |